We’re discounting for players drafted since 2013, who couldn’t have played for five years yet. Specifically, we calculated an age curve based on how much AV every player in the data set produced in each of their first five seasons. We expect players to produce 15 percent of their five year AV through Year 1, 37 percent through Year 2, 59 percent through Year 3 and 80 percent through Year 4.
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